2012 MLB Championship Series Prediction

I think that was the first time I correctly predicted all four division series winners. Of course I got both of the wild cards wrong. And I thought after the Reds won Game 1 that they should win the series and they almost did.

It was enjoyable watching the Cardinals come back in Game 5 over the Nationals just because having been a Clippard owner I saw how he and Storen could easily blow it.

The Orioles continue to amaze me and I was hoping I was wrong but in the Yankees were just that much better.

ALCS Detroit beats New York

Detroit has two disadvantages, starting the series in New York and not having Verlander until Game 3 and that will be on short rest which I think could be a mistake.

Still I see them winning because of their superstars, Verlander, Miggy, Prince and the way the Yankees are struggling on offense.

NLCS San Francisco beats St. Louis

San Francisco plays well at home, they have better starting pitching and their offense is good enough. St. Louis has the better offense but their starting pitching isn’t very reliable. Also I think Bochy is better than Matheny and in a close series that will matter.

In the end San Francisco should win in a close series.

World Series Champion Detroit

It seems I can’t make up my mind. First I predicted San Francisco would beat Detroit, then I predicted Detroit would beat St. Louis. Now I’m predicting Detroit to beat San Francisco.

Verlander should be lined up for Game 1 and things should fall into line after that for Detroit.

2012 MLB Playoff Predictions Updated

As I predicted before my predictions so far have been completely wrong.

Saunders was 0-6 in six career starts in Arlington with a 9.38 ERA. Yet he gives up only 1 run in 5 2/3 innings to lead the Orioles to victory.

Medlen and the Braves had won 23 straight games he started. But on an easy double play ball Chipper threw the ball into right field and the Braves made two more errors in one of the worst played games.

And the Reds somehow win Game 1 while losing their ace, Cueto, after eight pitches. But he could pitch Game 3 and Latos was fantastic as I predicted.

Now it’s time to update my predictions which of course will be wrong again.

AL Division Series 2
New York beats Baltimore

I want the Orioles to win not because I like them but because I don’t like the Yankees. However I am still not a believer. Hammel, their Game 1 starter, is coming back from an injury. Wei-Yin Chen and Miguel Gonzalez don’t impress me either.

This could be a sweep but the Orioles have a great bullpen and a great manager. I’ll say Yankees in 4.

NL Division Series 2
St. Louis beats Washington

Unlike the Braves the Cardinals did not lose much having to play the wild card game. One could argue their ace, Wainwright, is pitching Game 1 of this series.

Wainwright has been kind of up and down but if he pitches like an ace then the Cardinals should take this series. Their offense is better and their pitching can be as good. I will predict Cardinals in 4.

St. Louis beats San Francisco

If St. Louis can beat Washington then I think they can continue that roll and beat San Francisco.

World Series
Detroit beats St. Louis

I have no idea but I’m going to stay with Detroit though I think St. Louis will be a more formidable opponent than San Francisco.

Funky Kimchees Win Again in 2012

Funky Kimchees continue their winning streak of consecutive championships which dates back to 1986-87.

Congratulations 2012 League Champion! Funky Kimchees

Last season I entered two ESPN public free fantasy baseball auction leagues. The first league I won but the second league I dominated. This league’s auction was two weeks into the season so I just bought all the hot guys and rode them to an easy victory.

Mike Trout - Los Angeles Angels - MLB - Yahoo! SportsThis season I wanted a little more competition again so I entered one of my friend’s church’s league. Turned out this season was one of the most dominant I have ever had and it was simply because of one man, Mike Trout. The day Mike Trout was called up I had just picked up Scott Downs. The guy who wanted Scott Downs and missed picking him up by two minutes later picked up Mike Trout just before I could get him. We then traded the two guys which was actually his suggestion. I asked for Tim Hudson because I didn’t expect he would want to trade Mike Trout. At the time I thought Mike Trout’s floor was Alejandro De Aza and his ceiling was a potential All-Star. But I never expected one of the greatest fantasy seasons ever.

At one point my outfield was Mike Trout, Ryan Braun, Matt Kemp, Jacoby Ellsbury, Hunter Pence which on paper sure looks awesome. I actually end up dropping Hunter Pence soon after he was traded to the Giants and trading Jacoby Ellsbury for Adam Wainwright.

My final roster kind of looked like this but not exactly because I made so many transactions, 854 to be exact.

Funky Kimchees 2012 Roster

I was way ahead in the standings and at one point had 107 out of a possible 110 points. My goal was to win every category which I have never done before but I actually went down a little. One pattern of my teams is they almost always seem to swoon in the last couple of weeks.

RWC Royal Rumble 2012 Standings - Free Fantasy Baseball -  ESPN

Anyway it was a fun and pretty stress free season. Matt Kemp busted out in April and then I rode Mike Trout the rest of the season while also enjoying Ryan Braun. As for starters Brandon Beachy was awesome but then he went on the DL but was resurrected as Kris Medlen.

Now I’m looking forward to receiving my first place prize, an authentic Jeremy Lin Houston Rockets jersey. Should I get red or white? Smile

adidas Houston Rockets Jeremy Lin Revolution 30 Replica Road Jersey

2012 MLB Playoff Predictions

First I want to say this was supposed to be the season the Toronto Blue Jays make the playoffs. I blame Yunel Escobar. Now onto my predictions which if they follow past history will be completely wrong.

2012 MLB Postseason Picture

AL Wild Card

Texas beats Baltimore

I have been questioning Baltimore’s success all season and I will continue to do so. Saunders is probably one of the worst playoff starters while Darvish is starting to pitch like an ace. Texas should win this easily. But if it’s close and it gets to the bullpen then Baltimore will have the advantage with its better bullpen and superior manager, Buck Showalter.  But I don’t think Texas’s offense, #1 in MLB, will let it get there.

NL Wild Card

Atlanta beats St. Louis

This seems like the easy choice. Medlen has been awesome and Lohse has been much more hittable on the road. Atlanta does not have as good of an offense but it has the better bullpen so I think they pull this out.

AL Division Series 1

Detroit sweeps Oakland

I want Oakland to win. They’re a fantastic story. But to do that they might have to beat Verlander twice.

Let’s assume Detroit wins Game 1. This seems like the easy choice. In Game 2 it’s Doug Fister against Tommy Milone. Fister has been pitching very well while Milone has not pitched well on the road nor against the Tigers. Oakland could lose the first two games.

In Game 3 it’s Max Scherzer against Brett Anderson. Both pitchers have been very good of late but both also have been dealing with injuries. I am much more concerned about Brett’s. Again I can see another Oakland loss.

If Oakland makes it to Game 4 I think they can possibly win it because Anibal Sanchez is beatable. I am not sure what to expect from A.J. Griffin. His last start he got beat up by Texas and when he faced Detroit he did not do well.

And finally I can’t see Oakland winning Game 5 against Verlander. But if it gets there I like their chances more because Parker is very good at home and I think all the pressure will be on Detroit.

I predict Detroit sweeps but I hope Oakland wins.

AL Division Series 2

New York beats Texas

I think the Yankees would rather play the Rangers than the Orioles because of how well the Orioles have played them. And I believe they will get their wish and then beat the Rangers in 5.

The Rangers are really hurt by the fact they have to play the wild card game. Darvish will not be able to start in the Division Series until Game 3 or 4.

The Yankees pitching staff is much better and their hitting can keep up with the Rangers. But I hope the Rangers win, I’m a fan of Josh Hamilton.

NL Division Series 1

San Francisco beats Cincinnati

I don’t know why but I don’t really like the Giants. Maybe it’s the uniforms. Saying that I think they will beat the Reds.

In Game 1 it’s Cain vs. Cueto. Both have had remarkable seasons but I believe a lot more in Cain. Game 2 is Bumgarner against Arroyo. This is a mismatch in my mind. I don’t know why Baker is saving Latos for Games 3 but he’s clearly the better pitcher.

I am not sure who the Giants pitch in Game 3. Lincecum will probably be the starter but I don’t think it matters who it is because Latos will win.

In Game 4 I am not sure who the Giants start but the Reds are starting Cueto. Let’s assume Cueto wins this one.

In Game 5 it’s Arroyo again and I just don’t trust him. Giants win with Cain or Bumgarner starting.

In the end the Giants have the better offense and starting pitching. The Reds have the better bullpen but I think their advantage is not as great as many perceive.

NL Division Series 2

Washington beats Atlanta

I want Atlanta to win even though they have the racist uniform and chant. Maybe it’s because I’m a Heyward and Medlen fan. Or maybe it’s because I think the Nationals were idiotic for benching Strasburg.

The Braves have the better bullpen and the majority of fans cheering for Chipper Jones to win it in his retirement season. However they don’t have as good of an offense nor starting pitching. And the Braves won’t have Medlen until Game 3 or 4.

Gio Gonzalez will win Game 1 against Minor or Hudson. Zimmerman is more beatable but I think he can beat Minor or Hudson though this game will be closer.

Let’s assume Medlen starts Game 3 and beats Edwin Jackson. Tommy Hanson could beat Lannan in Game 4. But then I think Gio Gonzalez will be too hard to beat at home in Game 5.


Detroit beats New York

If Detroit only has to use Verlander in one game in the Divison Series then it’s chances to win the ALCS are much higher.

Last year I was on the Verlander bandwagon but he actually had a playoff series. I am going to board it again and predict the Tigers beat the Yankees.

Plus I don’t like New York. Smile


San Francisco beats Washington

In a longer seven game series I think the absence of Strasburg will be felt even more for the Nationals. San Francisco I think wins because their starting pitching is better, their bullpen is much better and I think even their offense is better with Buster Posey playing like Johnny Bench.

However if Washington beats Atlanta in 3 or 4 games while San Francisco takes 5 to beat Cincinnati then Washington will have the advantage in terms of setting its rotation. But even in that case Bumgarner will be starting Game 1 which is not much of a step down.

World Series

San Francisco beats Detroit

I don’t really want San Francisco to win. I am not sure why but I know I don’t want to hear bandwagon fans yelling in my face “This is Giants’ country!”

But in a field of not dominant teams they could win. They have a better bullpen, deeper lineup, better starters and in my opinion the better manager. San Francisco also has home advantage.

However Verlander is the best starter in baseball and Miguel Cabrera is the best hitter in baseball. If they somehow beat the Yankees easily so Verlander can start Game 1 then they could win it all. However I don’t see that happening so unfortunately as strange as it sounds I have to pick San Francisco.

If only the Blue Jays just had a few things bounce their way they could be winning the World Series. It’s really not a very strong field this season. The Blue Jays just split a series with the Yankees.

The Ji Seon Sports Blessing

On October 3, 2011, ESPN The Magazine published an issue all about Boston’s dominance titled “Welcome to Boston, Loozah!” The lead article was “Why Boston is better than you.”

Boston-Themed ESPN the Magazine Issue Declares Boston 'America's Most Dominant Sports City' (Photo) - NESN.com

What ESPN failed to uncover in their research was the real reason for Boston’s dominance was my wife, Ji Seon’s, presence in Boston.

Ji Seon arrived in Boston in the 90’s. Afterwards began the championship run starting with the New England Patriots in 2002 and ending with the Boston Red Sox in 2007 and the Boston Celtics in 2008. In total there were three Super Bowl victories, two World Series championships and one NBA championship.

Ji Seon left Boston in 2007. The Big Three trade happened before she left and that carried onto a championship. However her blessing was not able to sustain the Patriots who started off with a magical season. But then she moved and the blessing ran out before the Super Bowl resulting in the New York Giants winning.

Since then there have been no championships in Boston (we’re not counting the Bruins). The Big Three looks like it might fall apart. The Patriots can’t win it all. The Red Sox just suffered one of the biggest chokes in MLB history.

Now consider what has happened to the Bay Area since Ji Seon has arrived. While Ji Seon was in Boston there was not one single championship in the Bay Area. Since she arrived the following things have happened.

  1. The San Francisco Giants won the World Series with a team that most experts said could not win. They made the playoffs after the team ahead of them went on a ten game losing streak. Obviously there was more involved than just talent.
  2. The San Francisco 49’ers almost went to the Super Bowl. They narrowly lost in the NLCS championship to the eventual Super Bowl champions. This after they hadn’t made in the playoffs since 2002.
  3. There is new management and hope for the Golden State Warriors and Oakland Raiders.
  4. The Oakland A’s are planning to move to San Jose where they can join the ranks of the big market teams.

Don’t be surprised if in the next ten years you see more championships won in the Bay Area and ESPN The Magazine devotes an issue to the Bay Area’s dominance. Hopefully this time they’ll recognize the Ji Seon Sports Blessing.

Did I have a good 2011 draft?

Recently I posted about how poorly I drafted in 2010.  What has become a habit is every year I think I had a good draft but when I look back on it few months later I realize I had a bad one.

This year I am going to blog my initial thoughts about my 2011 draft.  And then in a few months I can look back and review it.

Round 1

Hanley Ramirez #2 SSUnlike last year when I intensely disliked my #6 slot this year I was quite pleased with my #2 slot.  Shortstop this season is incredibly shallow so I wanted either Hanley Ramirez or Troy Tulowitzki.  At #2 I knew I could get either of these guys or Pujols if the unexpected happened and he wasn’t drafted.

I used Fantistics to help me draft and it rated Tulowitzki higher than Hanley.  But 99% of every other fantasy baseball site rated Hanley higher.  In the end I had to go with Hanley, he’s more durable, he has a longer track record, he still has a lot of potential.

Tulowitzki ended up being drafted at #10 which I thought was a good price.  I thought Adrian Gonzalez being drafted at #4 and Carl Crawford at #5 was a bit too high.  Carlos Gonzalez at #14 seems like a good deal too.

Finally I am glad I did not have the #3 slot because Miguel Cabrera’s alcohol problems scare me.  He should be okay but I think if I had the #3 slot it would have taken me hours to decide whom to draft.

Round 2

Chase Utley #26 2BIn the second round I was expecting to get Dustin Pedroia to complete my middle infield.  However I was a bit surprised to see Chase Utley fall to me, my #1 pick from last year.  There are concerns about knee tendinitis which is keeping him out of spring training.  I hope he doesn’t become my 2010 Ian Kinsler.  In fact I hope he doesn’t become my 2010 Chase Utley.

Jose Bautista was the story of the second round.  He was taken early by the same team that took Troy Tulowitzki.  I had targeted him for the third round.  Though it was a bit early I think Jose will end up doing very well especially considering he qualifies at 3B and OF.

I thought Tim Lincecum and Kevin Youkilis were taken a little early and should have been taken in the third round.  But overall a pretty solid round.

One final note on this round was the run on 1B and 3B players.  I did not participate in it and I am not sure if that was a mistake.

Round 3

Justin Upton #10 RFIn the third round I was targeting Nelson Cruz or Adam Dunn but Dunn was taken just before I took Utley and Cruz was taken right after I took Utley.

I was thinking of taking Pedroia but decided I did not need another 2B.  Plus as of this writing I am hoping to get Aaron Hill as my second 2B.

I then considered these three outfielders, all who have the chance to be in the top 20.

  • Justin Upton
  • Jason Heyward
  • Andrew McCutchen

Different people have different opinions about whom to take.  I decided not to take Andrew McCutchen because I decided I did not need the speed since I already drafted speed in the first two rounds.  Also I thought he would be hitting leadoff but now it looks like he will be hitting third.

Jason Heyward is very attractive because of his great eye.  I gravitate towards players with strong plate discipline.  But in the end he just does not have a track record.

I ended up choosing Justin Upton because his 2009 was so great and he is still so young.  Also he will be hitting 3rd vs. Heyward hitting 2nd.

Rounds 4 – 5

In the fourth round I was planning on taking Justin Morneau and in the fifth round I was planning on taking a starter.  However Morneau was taken early in the fourth round.  Considering reports I read later about his still not being completely recovered from his concussion I am glad I did not.

I did consider Kendry Morales but was spooked by reports that he is still not putting full weight on his ankle.  I can just imagine the end of year reports saying Kendry Morales had a bad year because of his ankle.

I considered Billy Butler but thought it was far too early to take someone who hit 15 HR’s last season.  I considered a 3B but decided I could wait on them.  I considered an OF but the only one I wanted was Curtis Granderson and thought I could wait on him (he got drafted early in the sixth round who admitted he thought he was taking him early).

So against my better instincts I decided to take two starting pitchers. I considered six different starting pitchers who I considered could be top 10 starters.

  • Josh Johnson
  • Francisco Liriano
  • Yovani Gallardo
  • Ubaldo Jimenez
  • Cole Hamels
  • Jered Weaver

I then made a spreadsheet where I recorded on a scale of 1 – 6 where they ranked on ESPN, The Fantasy Man, Razzball, Rotoprofessor, Fantasy Baseball Insiders, Roto Hardball, CBS, Fantistics, Yahoo! and Fangraphs.  Ubaldo and Josh Johnson were #1 followed very closely by Jered Weaver.  The next tier was Cole Hamels and Liriano.  Gallardo was the consensus worst.

Ubaldo’s second half scared me and I love Josh Johnson so I picked Josh.  Then I picked Jered Weaver though Cole Hamels profiled quite similarly.  I decided that if Cole Hamels was available in the 6th round I would take him.

Later I learned of Josh Johnson’s injury problems at the end of 2010.  I don’t know why I never knew about that before but when I read that I regretted not taking Weaver and Hamels instead of Josh and Weaver.

Rounds 6 – 7

I was targeting Aramis Ramirez for awhile as my next third basemen.  I was considering Mark Reynolds instead but his low average made me think he’d end up batting low in the lineup.  When I saw Hamels taken I took Aramis because there really weren’t any good third basemen left.

I was hoping to get Granderson in the 7th round but he was taken in the 6th.  I was wondering if I should have taken him earlier and forgot what a Yankee lover Mark is.  I ended up taking Delmon Young because he’s young and still has upside.

Rounds 8 – 9

At this point I unfortunately dropped out of HRBL.  It was a bad decision to have joined.  On the family side we were in the middle of selling our home and packing.  On the personal side I just had a bad fall and hurt my knee considerably.  On the business side I was over my head trying to incorporate.  It was an extremely stressful time and I realized I could not devote any more time to HRBL.

I regret tremendously causing turmoil for the league and so much trouble for the commissioner.  I wasted a lot of peoples’ time and energy because of my bad decision to join HRBL.

I was planning on drafting Carlos Quentin and Carlos Pena next.

Update 09-04-2011

I wrote most of this post during the draft.  Since I did not have time to finish the draft it is obvious that I would not have time to finish this post. Smile

Looking back now it was another disastrous draft for the Funky Kimchees.  Hanley Ramirez was the biggest bust of 2011.  Chase Utley came back sooner than I expected but was still a bust for a second rounder especially considering the depth at 2B this season.  Josh Johnson was fantastic for a few weeks and then was out the rest of the season.  Delmon Young was horrific.

Justin Upton and Jered Weaver were the shining stars of my draft and were almost good enough to overcome my other busts.

It would have been a large uphill battle to win HRBL in 2011 and I doubt I would have.  But considering that the team that I started is now in 3rd I think I would have finished top 4.


Looking Back on my 2010 Fantasy Baseball Draft

Now that is about time to start the 2011 fantasy baseball draft I thought I would look back on my 2010 draft.  Every season I have drafted poorly and unfortunately last season was no exception.  I actually thought I had a very good draft but a mix of bad luck and questionable valuations led to another failed draft.  Fortunately I still won the league. Smile

Position Scarcity Chart 2010

My 2010 Position Scarcity Chart – it wasn’t very good

Round 1

I disliked my #6 slot and tried to trade to a different position right until the draft started.  I thought having the #1 or #2 pick or a bottom pick would be optimal.  I really wanted Tim Lincecum but didn’t want to pay a high pick for him.  Or I was hoping to get Tulowitzki and Kinsler with my first two picks.

As it became my turn I agonized for hours about whether to take Utley or Lincecum.  I finally chose Utley and it turned out to be disastrous because:

  1. Utley had a major injury in 2010.
  2. When healthy Utley had a below average season.

Lincecum though would not have been that much better of a pick.  Though he was solid he was nothing compared to 2009.  And throughout the season I was able to find reliable free agent starters.

If I was to do it again I still would have taken Utley.  Everyone who gave me unsolicited advice told me to take Utley.  It was just bad luck he had such a poor season.

Round 2

I was targeting getting a shortstop, most likely Reyes, and was surprised when Kinsler fell to me.  One person sent me an IM saying it was a no-brainer.  I took Kinsler pretty quickly.  However Kinsler ended up having a disastrous 2010 for the same reasons that Utley did.

If I was to do it again I would have taken Kinsler again even with his injury history.

Round 3

I was hoping Reyes or Rollins would fall to me but they did not.  Jason Bay was by far the highest rated batter left.  I was concerned about his move to the NL and Citi Field but thought his five category potential was too much to ignore.

Immediately afterwards a Red Sox fan said that was a terrible pick and he turned out to be right.  I knew Bay would have less power but I did not expect 6 homeruns.  Also did not expect him to have a concussion that would wipe him out for the rest of the season but fortunately I had traded him at that point.

If I was to do it again I may have taken Ryan Zimmerman or Kevin Youkilis.  3B was shallow last year as it will be this year and I struggled for most of the season to fill my 3B slot.  My hope was that someone like Sandoval would be available in the 4th round.

Round 4

I was hoping there would be a good 3B available but when there wasn’t I took the next best player available in my opinion, Nelson Cruz.  This pick turned out to be decent.  Nelson Cruz was one of the best players per at bat.  However he only had 399 AB’s.

Round 5

I wanted to continue taking batters though at this point starters were looking like very good values.  I needed a 1B so I took Derrek Lee who was just awful.

Immediately after my pick I regretted it because I realized Brandon Phillips was still available.  A 2B with almost as much value as a 1B is much more valuable, even if I already had 2 2B already.  If I was to do it again I would have taken Brandon Phillips.

Someone suggested that I take Adam Wainwright.  I stupidly responded that I did  not believe in him.  If I had taken a starter I would have probably taken Javier Vazquez or Josh Beckett which would have been disastrous.

If Brandon Phillips wasn’t available and I was to do it again I would have taken Adam Wainwright.  Maybe this is a good round to take your first starter but you had better be sure he will be an ace.

Round 6

Continuing my strategy to only take batters I took Carlos Lee.  I was actually not that high on him, thinking he was kind of old.  However I did not expect him to be there in this round so I took him.

The person who had suggested Adam Wainwright to me in round 5 also suggested Carlos Lee.  He was not happy to see me take him in round 6 because he realized that if he had not said anything he might have grabbed him in round 6.

Regardless Carlos Lee was awful.  If I was to do it again I may have taken Josh Hamilton.  Obviously that is easy to say in hindsight but maybe for my 3rd OF I should be looking at upside.

Round 7

This was my last round to take a batter.  I took Hunter Pence and immediately after regretted it, wishing I had taken Bobby Abreu.  I consoled myself by the fact that Hunter Pence is much younger.

Turned out this was only my second good pick of my first seven.  However Abreu also had a pretty good season.

Round 8

Now I started taking starters.  It is interesting to note that soon after my pick a lot of closers began being taken.

I took Jake Peavy and overall he was bad.  He started turning around his season and then tore his shoulder.

I actually was eyeing Ubaldo Jiminez and Ricky Nolasco but they were taken just before my turn.

I had concerns about my #1 starter being someone injury prone and pitching in a small AL park.  Turns out I was right.

I am not sure what I could have done otherwise.  Maybe waiting this long to get a #1 starter was too long.  In hindsight I could say I should have taken Carlos Gonzalez but I had no idea.  Maybe I should have taken a closer.

Round 9

Stubbornly continuing with starters and ignoring closers I took John Lackey.  I didn’t love his move to the AL East but I trusted the Red Sox knew what they were doing in signing him.  Turns out I was wrong.  In fact I became so alarmed by his spring training numbers that I traded him before the season started for Brett Anderson.

If I was to do it again I think I would have taken a closer anticipating there would be a run, probably Brian Wilson.  But Brian Wilson was the last guy left in this tier and I think I would have preferred grabbing closers from the next tier.

Or I could have taken Brett Anderson so I wouldn’t have had to trade for him.

At this point the draft becomes really hard.

Round 10

Another starter, this time A.J. Burnett.  This was a case of my valuations overvaluing K’s and undervaluing WHIP.  I realized this mistake much later in the draft.

Not sure whom I would have taken instead.  Maybe Roy Oswalt.

Round 11

Roy Oswalt was probably my second best pick of the draft.  He became my ace and was phenomenal after he was traded to the Phillies.

Round 12

Ryan Dempster was my last starter and a decent pick.  His K’s were higher than expected but so were his BB’s.  A pretty decent #3 starter.

Rickie Weeks was taken in this round, probably one of the best picks of the draft.  However I would never have taken just because I already had two 2B.

Round 13

Geovany Soto had just been taken so I thought there would be a run on catchers.  I took Russell Martin who was horrible.

This was in the midst of the second closer run.  In hindsight I should have taken a closer like Carlos Mármol.

Round 14

Almost all the closers were taken at this point so I reluctantly took Bobby Jenks.  As I feared Jenks was fat and bad.  He actually wasn’t as bad as his numbers looked, he just had bad luck.  Still he drove me nuts because he kept losing his job.

In this round Adrian Beltre was taken.  In hindsight I should have taken him because I needed a 3B but I felt like I had to have a closer.

What’s funny is I could have had Beltre.  I originally asked for Billy Wagner, not Jenks.  The next team’s owner then announced he wanted Adrian Beltre.  When I found out Billy Wagner was taken I could have taken Beltre who I had been eyeing.  In the end I am glad I didn’t because that would have just caused weird feelings all season between that team’s owner and me.

Round 15

I had been eyeing Garrett Jones for awhile because of his speed and power and the fact he would be hitting third or fourth for the Pirates.  I felt like a genius when he hit 2 HR’s on opening day and another on the second day.

But then he went downhill.  I should have taken Leo Nunez but Eric Karabell scared me about him.  Leo had a pretty good season and was the last surefire closer.

Round 16

I took Dice-K hoping for a repeat of 2008.  Again I made a mistake overvaluing K’s and undervaluing WHIP.  He was a pick I regretted soon afterwards like A.J. Burnett.  Not sure whom I would have taken instead.

Round 17 – 20

JJ Hardy was just taken so I took Jhonny Peralta, the last decent SS.  He was pretty bad.  SS is a tough position and I did not have a good SS until I picked up Infante in August.

Next I took Drew Stubbs for his speed and potential power.  Too bad he was terrible for me so I dropped him.  Turned out to actually be a good pick but unfortunately someone else enjoyed him.

Then I took Vernon Wells which was my best pick of the draft by far.  I read reports that he was feeling healthy and that his wrist had strengthened.

Round 21 – 26

The last rounds are just crapshoots.

Mark DeRosa because I needed a 3B.  He was hurt all season.

Homer Bailey because I always liked him.  He was terrible and didn’t turn it around until the end of the season, long after I dropped him.  Should have taken Kevin Gregg but I thought he wouldn’t get the job.

Kevin Kouzmanoff because I thought he could hit 25 HR’s.  I was wrong.  Should have taken Brett Gardner but was worried about his playing time.

Luke Gregerson as a backup closer.  Hoping that Heath Bell would be traded which never happened.

Jermaine Dye because I was hoping someone would sign him.  Never happened.

Marc Rzepczynski was a trendy sleeper and a Blue Jay.  He got hurt in spring training and really never recovered.

Elijah Dukes was my final pick.  Soon after he was waived by the Nationals and never picked up by anyone else.


I had a pretty awful draft and I am not sure how I could have done better.  Some possibilities:

  1. take more closers
  2. have better projections
  3. stay away from AL East starters
  4. fill scarce positions earlier

In the end there’s a lot of luck in the draft.


HRBL 2010 Champion

Once again the Funky Kimchees have maintained their dynasty and again won HRBL (Highrock Rotisserie Baseball League) in 2010.

HRBL 2010 Final Standings

This season proved to be the most challenging because of all the injuries my team suffered.  My first four picks spent significant amounts of time on the DL.  But in September everyone became healthy and I ended up running away with it.

HRBL 2010 Standings

I did not have a real MVP.  My favorite pitchers were Brandon Morrow and Brett Anderson.  My favorite batter was Nelson Cruz.  It used to be Buster Posey until I traded him to David Kwon. Smile

Configuring Ooma

Ooma is awesome.  I have had it for over two years and love the fact that I have never had to pay a monthly fee, never had to pay for long distance, never had to worry about it breaking, etc.

However I never tried to optimize the configuration of my Ooma until today.

Quality of Service

The Ooma is setup to be in front of my router “so that Ooma can intelligently prioritize voice traffic over other traffic.”

Ooma QoS Topology

Ooma’s Configuring Quality of Service document recommends configuring the upstream internet speed based on your SpeedNet results.  It turned out the default setting of 384 Kbps was about 10% of my actual upstream speed.  Ooma’s Learning more about Ooma Quality of Service (QoS) document recommended:

For the most optimum results, it is best to configure your "Upstream Internet Speed" to be 15-20% less than your measured upstream bandwidth.

I did three tests and got 3.46 Mb/s, 3.97 Mb/s and 3.60 Mb/s.  The average of these three is 3.68 Mb/s so I configured my Ooma to 85% of this value which is 3125 Kbps.

I was going to update the reserve bandwidth for calls from the default of 130 Kbps to 215 Kbps.  But after reading this forum about Quality of Service Settings I concluded it won’t make a difference.  I can’t change the codec used from the default codec (iLBC) to the high-bandwidth codec (G711) so I can only assume it uses the default codec.  In this forum it says to contact Ooma which I did and Ooma promptly changed it.  Ooma said the high-bandwidth codec takes up 90- 100 Kbps which is less than the default of 130 Kbps.

In conclusion changing the QoS settings doesn’t change the voice quality, it only changes how much data is available upstream when you are making a call.  But it was worth investigating since I found out how to improve the voice quality.

Port Forwarding

I set up port forwarding from my Ooma to my router for VNC and SSH.  First I forwarded ports 22 and 5900 TCP from Ooma to my router.  I found the router’s ethernet address on the 172.25.35 network using Airport Utility.

Then I configured the iMac to port forward.

  1. Configured to use DHCP with manual address (Settings –> Network –> Airport –> Advanced –> TCP/IP.  )  I chose 201 because that’s supposedly out of the range of normal DHCP addresses.
  2. Used Airport Utility to port forward.  Went to Manual Setup –> Advanced –> Port Mapping and added Apple Remote Desktop and added SSH port mappings.

Port Forward has instructions for setting up a static IP address and for port forwarding with the Airport Extreme but they are outdated.  However I couldn’t find anything better.

Real VNC has a page on port forwarding for VNC and on that page is a link to a test page to see if your port forwarding is working.

What I found was I was only able to truly test if port forwarding was working when I was off my LAN.  Even when trying to use the outside IP address while within my LAN did not work.


Amazon MP3 Downloader and iTunes

I started getting MP3’s from Amazon because they occasionally have promotions that allow you to download a few for free.

Amazon MP3 DownloaderThe Amazon MP3 Downloader conveniently automatically adds downloaded MP3’s to iTunes.  After the MP3 is downloaded (typically in the Music/Amazon MP3 folder) a copy is made in the iTunes/iTunes Media/Music folder.

What is strange is that though the copy is the same size it is a different binary.  I posted a question about this on Apple’s discussion site.

Also I noticed that iTunes has some music under its iTunes Music folder and some under its iTunes Media/Music folder.  This is because iTunes 9 and later began using the iTunes Media/Music folder instead.

iTunes Folders

I decided I wanted everything under one folder so I used iTunes consolidate feature.

I then deleted the old iTunes Music folder after making sure everything was copied.  I did notice that some of the copies were slightly different sizes.

Another unproductive way to spend a Sunday morning. Smile